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Gold gains as Fed begins deeper rate-cut cycle

CNBC/Reuters | 20/09/2024

Gold prices rebounded on Thursday as the U.S. Federal Reserve launched its monetary easing cycle with a half point move, boosting bullion to all-time highs just a few cents shy of key $2,600 ceiling in the previous session.

 

Spot gold rose 0.7% to $2,575.90 per ounce and U.S. gold futures gained 0.1% to $2,600.60.

Spot prices scaled a record high of $2,599.92 on Wednesday after the Fed lowered its window for the benchmark policy rate by 50 basis points to 4.75-5%, a move that aligned with trader expectations prior to the decision.

Fed policymakers also projected the benchmark interest rate would fall by another half of a percentage point by the end of this year, a full percentage point next year, and half of a percentage point in 2026.

“The market is factoring in bigger and more rate cuts because we have both fiscal and trade deficits, and that’s going to further weaken the overall value of the dollar,” said Alex Ebkarian, chief operating officer at Allegiance Gold.

“If you combine geopolitical risk with the current deficit that we have, along with the low yielding environment and weaker dollar, the combination of all these is what’s leading to gold.”

Monetary policy easing by global banks along with robust central bank buying and geopolitical concerns have fuelled a rally in gold prices to record highs multiple times this year.

Bullion is considered a safe asset during political and economic uncertainty. It also tends to thrive in a low-rate environment.

“This rally could go further, in our view. We target $2,700/oz by mid-2025. Alongside the near-term risk drivers, we anticipate greater gold ETF demand to gather pace in the coming months,” UBS said in a note.

Elsewhere, spot silver rose 2.4% to $30.78 per ounce after hitting its highest level since July in the previous session.

“We maintain our view that silver is set to benefit from a rising gold price environment,” UBS added.

Platinum added 1.4% to $982.27 and palladium gained 1.7% to $1,079.75

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