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Gold retreats but poised to end best month since February

CNBC/Reuters | 03/08/2026

Gold slid 2% on Friday as the U.S. dollar rebounded from a ?more than one-month low reached on Thursday, though the precious metal was still on track for its first monthly gain in five as weaker inflation data reduced expectations of further U.S. rate hikes.

 

Spot gold was down 1.8% ⁠at $4,027.75 ‌an ounce, after falling ⁠2% earlier in the session. U.S. gold futures for August delivery dropped 1.9% to $4,025.10.

Gold has gained 0.5% so far this month, its biggest monthly increase since February, just as the war with Iran got underway.

The recent gains have been primarily driven by softer ‌inflation data, which led traders to scale back expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes for the year and as oil prices retreated to pre-Iran ​war levels earlier this month.

“Although gold is on the cusp of ending a 4-month losing streak, the precious metal has struggled to carve a bigger gap above the psychological $4,000 level,” said Han Tan, chief market analyst at Bybit.

The ⁠metal remains supported above $4,000 by expectations that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh may broaden the central bank’s ‌focus beyond its preferred inflation measures and rate increases, ‌Tan added.

Data on Thursday showed U.S. inflation slowed in June, but the easing was likely temporary as renewed hostilities in the Middle East lifted oil prices.

Warsh this week pledged an unwavering commitment ⁠to bring inflation down without signaling a readiness to raise interest rates.

The dollar gained ⁠0.5% after dropping about 2.4% on Thursday, in its biggest one-day ⁠drop since January 2023. A stronger dollar makes bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies.

Traders see a 65% chance of a U.S. rate hike ​in September, versus a more than 80% ‌chance a week before, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

Elsewhere, China’s market regulator urged solar companies to resist “vicious” price competition in a price compliance guidance meeting on Friday, a statement showed. Silver is a key industrial metal used in solar photovoltaic panels.

Spot silver fell 2.9% to $57.29 per ​ounce. Platinum slid 2.5% to $1,618.97, and palladium ‌dropped 3.4% to $1,260, although both metals were headed for a monthly gain.

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