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Gold edges down as oil-driven inflation fears lift rate-hike bets

CNBC/Reuters | 8 hours ago | 16/09/2026

Gold prices fell on Tuesday, pressured by a stronger ?U.S. dollar and elevated ?U.S. Treasury yields, as ?a rally in crude oil prices fueled inflation worries and bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates this week.

 

Spot gold was down 0.3% at $4,285.88 an ounce, after hitting its lowest ⁠point since August 7 on Monday. U.S. gold futures fell 0.6% to $4,325.80.

“Higher energy prices cause more inflation. More inflation could cause higher interest rates. That’s not good for gold ... gold is in kind of a ‌range-bound area. It could actually sell off more if rates continue to move higher,” said Daniel Pavilonis, senior market strategist at StoneX.

Traders now await ​the Fed’s rate decision, which is due to be announced at 2 p.m. EDT (1800 GMT) on Wednesday. Financial markets are betting heavily that U.S. central bank policymakers will lift the benchmark overnight interest rate by a quarter ⁠of a percentage point to the 3.75%-4.00% range, and signal further tightening ahead.

“I think a lot of (rate-hike ‌fears are) already baked in ... It really depends on what ‌the Fed says afterward. Are they going to continue to raise rates? Are they going to monitor the situation? Overall, it’s not a good look for gold,” Pavilonis said.

The dollar rose, ⁠making greenback-priced bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies, while benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury ⁠yields rose to their highest level since 2007.

While gold is traditionally ⁠viewed as a hedge against inflation and geopolitical uncertainty, higher yields on risk-free Treasuries reduce the appeal of the non-yielding metal.

“Much of the hawkish ​Fed risk appears to be priced ‌in. However, gold could remain vulnerable if policymakers signal rates will stay higher for longer,” analysts at ING said in a note.

Oil prices edged higher after attacks on Saudi Arabian energy infrastructure left the kingdom’s East-West Pipeline offline, raising fears that damage to energy infrastructure and transport routes could ​take longer to repair.

Among other metals, ‌spot silver rose 0.7% to $63.64, platinum gained 0.8% to $1,773.13 and palladium was up 0.5% at $1,299.76.

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